{ "schema_version": "market_intel_pages.reports.v1", "generated_at": "2026-10-30T18:45:18+08:00", "reports": [ { "id": "2026-10-26-evening", "date": "2026-10-26", "kind": "evening", "title": "收盘复盘（2026-10-26）", "sections": [ { "title": "报告信息", "paragraphs": [ "生成时间: 2026-10-26 18:45:17.870133", "数据日期: 2026-10-26", "报告生成方式: scheduled", "本报告按计划生成，生成时间为本次实际运行时间。" ] }, { "title": "一、市场状态", "paragraphs": [ "- 状态: 偏冷。", "- 热度 / 脆弱度: 39.6 / 47.6（观察分）。", "- 口径: 热度、脆弱度与六维分数均为市场状态观察分，不直接映射仓位，也不构成交易指令。" ] }, { "title": "六维观察", "paragraphs": [ "| 维度 | 观察分 | 状态 | 证据 |", "|---|---:|---|---|", "| 流动性 | 45.5 | 中性 | 成交额/历史中位 0.98x；成交额分位 45.0% |", "| 广度 | 36.4 | 偏弱 | 上涨率 40.4%；个股中位涨跌 -0.5%；站上VWAP占比 46.1% |", "| 赚钱效应 | 50.7 | 中性 | 涨停率 1.1%；涨幅超5%占比 3.4% |", "| 亏钱风险 | 68.2 | 风险偏高 | 跌停率 0.5%；跌幅超5%占比 7.4% |", "| 趋势确认 | 24.8 | 较弱 | 上涨指数占比 14.3%；指数中位涨跌 -1.5%；指数收盘位置 56.0% |", "| 轮动质量 | 50.4 | 中性 | 上涨行业占比 43.8%；行业中位涨跌 -0.2%；领涨集中度 42.8% |" ] }, { "title": "核心矛盾", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "明日验证", "paragraphs": [ "- 下一观察日跌幅超过 5% 的占比下降，才算尾部亏钱效应缓和；条件: 跌幅超5%占比 < 7.4%" ] }, { "title": "昨日验证复盘", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "数据完整度与校准", "paragraphs": [ "- 完整度: 高（97%）；六维可用: 6/6。", "- 警告: 赚钱效应、亏钱风险存在缺项，观察分按可用指标重加权。", "- 校准: 暂定观察刻度（未回测）。" ] }, { "title": "二、指数总览", "paragraphs": [ "上证指数: 3697.52 [OK] +0.19% | 成交 7465.28亿", "深证成指: 11534.38 [WARN] -1.19% | 成交 4391.84亿", "创业板指: 2638.23 [WARN] -1.71% | 成交 1746.04亿", "科创50: 1315.50 [WARN] -2.23% | 成交 816.97亿", "沪深300: 4103.54 [WARN] -0.04% | 成交 4562.47亿", "中证500: 6712.73 [WARN] -1.49% | 成交 2785.02亿", "中证1000: 6630.78 [WARN] -1.54% | 成交 3167.61亿" ] }, { "title": "三、市场总览", "paragraphs": [ "全市场中位数涨跌 [WARN] -0.47% | 成交额加权涨跌 -1.40% | 总成交 1.62万亿", "> 成交额加权与中位数偏离 0.9pp，高成交标的相对偏弱", "上涨 2252 家 | 下跌 3157 家 | 平盘 161 家 | 上涨率 40.4%", "站上 VWAP 比例: 46.1% | 开盘跳空: -0.62% | 日内振幅中位数: 3.68% | 收盘位置: 46.6%", "涨跌分布: -inf~-9.9%:54 -9.9~-7%:128 -7~-5%:228 -5~-3%:589 -3~-1%:1260 -1~0%:898 0~1%:1036 1~3%:958 3~5%:231 5~7%:72 7~9.9%:41 9.9~inf%:75" ] }, { "title": "四、涨跌停", "paragraphs": [ "涨停 59 家 | 跌停 28 家 | 涨幅>5% 188 家 | 跌幅>5% 410 家", "> 最高连板: 4 板", "涨停代表: 华阳智能、金溢科技、三羊马、*ST瑞茂、奥雅股份、大名城、大千生态、百达精工、上纬新材、皇台酒业、泛亚微透、林州重机" ] }, { "title": "五、资金动向", "paragraphs": [ "大单资金代理 [WARN] -354.75亿 | 净流入 1945 家 / 净流出 3210 家" ] }, { "title": "六、融资融券", "paragraphs": [ "两融数据暂缺（T+1延迟）" ] }, { "title": "七、行业板块 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 行业 | 均涨跌 | 中位数 | 家数 | 上涨率 |", "|------|--------|--------|------|--------|", "| 银行 | +1.52% | +1.52% | 42 | 100.0% |", "| 石油石化 | +1.23% | +1.00% | 49 | 71.4% |", "| 食品饮料 | +1.16% | +0.98% | 126 | 70.6% |", "| 商贸零售 | +1.13% | +0.68% | 108 | 65.7% |", "| 交通运输 | +1.02% | +0.87% | 116 | 77.6% |", "| 医药生物 | +0.69% | +0.68% | 464 | 60.8% |", "| 美容护理 | +0.61% | +0.62% | 33 | 63.6% |", "| 传媒 | +0.49% | +0.59% | 176 | 59.7% |", "| 房地产 | +0.45% | +0.31% | 100 | 53.0% |", "| 非银金融 | +0.26% | +0.51% | 71 | 62.0% |", "跌幅靠前行业:", "电子(-3.32%)、有色金属(-1.91%)、电力设备(-1.48%)、机械设备(-1.26%)、通信(-1.26%)" ] }, { "title": "八、高成交核心票 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 代码 | 成交额(亿) | 涨跌 |", "|------|-----------|------|", "| 300308 | 169.8 | -2.96% |", "| 300502 | 147.2 | -3.57% |", "| 300750 | 146.2 | +0.17% |", "| 688825 | 138.5 | -0.44% |", "| 688256 | 134.2 | +3.84% |", "| 603986 | 86.5 | -5.33% |", "| 601899 | 82.5 | -4.58% |", "| 002384 | 81.7 | -7.70% |", "| 688836 | 74.6 | +7.69% |", "| 603259 | 72.8 | +0.88% |" ] }, { "title": "九、热门概念 TOP5", "paragraphs": [ "| 概念 | 涨幅 | 龙头 | 涨停数 |", "|------|------|------|--------|", "| 无人配送 | +3.99% | 中邮科技(+20.01%) | 1 |", "| 采矿业 | +3.15% | 中海油服(+7.23%) | 0 |", "| SPD概念 | +3.10% | 英特集团(+10.04%) | 2 |", "| 医药商业 | +2.83% | 百洋医药(+10.62%) | 1 |", "| 张雪机车概念 | +2.62% | 恒勃股份(+7.80%) | 0 |" ] }, { "title": "十、极端异动", "paragraphs": [ "涨幅前五: 688648.SH 中邮科技(+20.01%)、301314.SZ 科瑞思(+20.01%)、300949.SZ 奥雅股份(+20.00%)、300976.SZ 达瑞电子(+20.00%)、301502.SZ 华阳智能(+20.00%)", "跌幅前五: 920285.BJ(-29.19%)、688248.SH 南网科技(-16.42%)、300990.SZ 同飞股份(-16.40%)、920157.BJ(-16.11%)、301205.SZ 联特科技(-15.71%)", "---", "*数据: Tushare / market-data-platform | 主题: 研究编辑部 | 生成: 2026-10-26 18:45*" ] }, { "title": "亚洲市场概览", "paragraphs": [ "| 市场 | 指数 | 数据日期 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 状态 |", "| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |", "| 香港 | 恒生指数 | 2026-10-26 | 23211.81 | +0.51% | 已收盘 |", "| 日本 | 日经225 | 2026-10-26 | 62189.65 | -0.80% | 已收盘 |", "| 韩国 | KOSPI | 2026-10-26 | 5469.47 | -1.46% | 已收盘 |", "- [香港收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^HSI/history/)；2026-10-26T08:00:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.482858dbb20dae487117e57691567c0e9e0e5bf4243a0be86973beaf8152275f`", "- [日本收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^N225/history/)；2026-10-26T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.ff75b497d0b00366c7407ddc594ef2da3243470d8663377ebed01ae0720cd94e`", "- [韩国收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^KS11/history/)；2026-10-26T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.380abb674d518636d06b0d311ec4984dead4df15cb887b3538eb7b4dd2b62108`", "来源时间为交易所日历规定的实际收盘时间；日线时间戳仅标识当地交易日。" ] } ], "source_url": "reports/2026-10-26-evening.md", "summary": "目标日期 2026-10-26；原报告生成于 2026-10-26 18:45（北京时间）。" }, { "id": "2026-10-27-evening", "date": "2026-10-27", "kind": "evening", "title": "收盘复盘（2026-10-27）", "sections": [ { "title": "报告信息", "paragraphs": [ "生成时间: 2026-10-27 18:45:19.889776", "数据日期: 2026-10-27", "报告生成方式: scheduled", "本报告按计划生成，生成时间为本次实际运行时间。" ] }, { "title": "一、市场状态", "paragraphs": [ "- 状态: 偏冷。", "- 热度 / 脆弱度: 14.7 / 49.8（观察分）。", "- 口径: 热度、脆弱度与六维分数均为市场状态观察分，不直接映射仓位，也不构成交易指令。" ] }, { "title": "六维观察", "paragraphs": [ "| 维度 | 观察分 | 状态 | 证据 |", "|---|---:|---|---|", "| 流动性 | 30.1 | 偏弱 | 成交额/历史中位 0.90x；成交额分位 30.0% |", "| 广度 | 0 | 较弱 | 上涨率 10.9%；个股中位涨跌 -3.0%；站上VWAP占比 4.9% |", "| 赚钱效应 | 26.8 | 偏弱 | 涨停率 0.8%；涨幅超5%占比 1.8% |", "| 亏钱风险 | 68.2 | 风险偏高 | 跌停率 0.5%；跌幅超5%占比 17.0% |", "| 趋势确认 | 0 | 较弱 | 上涨指数占比 0.0%；指数中位涨跌 -3.0%；指数收盘位置 0.5% |", "| 轮动质量 | 1 | 较弱 | 上涨行业占比 3.1%；行业中位涨跌 -2.5%；领涨集中度 100.0% |" ] }, { "title": "核心矛盾", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "明日验证", "paragraphs": [ "- 下一观察日跌幅超过 5% 的占比下降，才算尾部亏钱效应缓和；条件: 跌幅超5%占比 < 17.0%" ] }, { "title": "昨日验证复盘", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "数据完整度与校准", "paragraphs": [ "- 完整度: 高（97%）；六维可用: 6/6。", "- 警告: 赚钱效应、亏钱风险存在缺项，观察分按可用指标重加权。", "- 校准: 暂定观察刻度（未回测）。" ] }, { "title": "二、指数总览", "paragraphs": [ "上证指数: 3648.30 [WARN] -1.33% | 成交 6724.14亿", "深证成指: 11245.73 [WARN] -2.50% | 成交 3806.74亿", "创业板指: 2548.15 [WARN] -3.41% | 成交 1497.52亿", "科创50: 1252.28 [WARN] -4.81% | 成交 640.32亿", "沪深300: 4049.55 [WARN] -1.32% | 成交 3831.26亿", "中证500: 6511.42 [WARN] -3.00% | 成交 2491.42亿", "中证1000: 6427.17 [WARN] -3.07% | 成交 2934.30亿" ] }, { "title": "三、市场总览", "paragraphs": [ "全市场中位数涨跌 [WARN] -2.97% | 成交额加权涨跌 -2.59% | 总成交 1.47万亿", "上涨 606 家 | 下跌 4922 家 | 平盘 42 家 | 上涨率 10.9%", "站上 VWAP 比例: 4.9% | 开盘跳空: +0.02% | 日内振幅中位数: 5.17% | 收盘位置: 2.5%", "涨跌分布: -inf~-9.9%:65 -9.9~-7%:192 -7~-5%:688 -5~-3%:1814 -3~-1%:1775 -1~0%:388 0~1%:265 1~3%:212 3~5%:69 5~7%:36 7~9.9%:14 9.9~inf%:52" ] }, { "title": "四、涨跌停", "paragraphs": [ "涨停 44 家 | 跌停 28 家 | 涨幅>5% 102 家 | 跌幅>5% 948 家", "> 最高连板: 5 板", "涨停代表: 文投控股、弘景光电、新华百货、大洋电机、海洋王、国芳集团、沪光股份、多伦科技、亚太股份、申达股份、阳光乳业、科瑞思" ] }, { "title": "五、资金动向", "paragraphs": [ "大单资金代理 [WARN] -631.73亿 | 净流入 1016 家 / 净流出 4183 家" ] }, { "title": "六、融资融券", "paragraphs": [ "两融数据暂缺（T+1延迟）" ] }, { "title": "七、行业板块 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 行业 | 均涨跌 | 中位数 | 家数 | 上涨率 |", "|------|--------|--------|------|--------|", "| 银行 | +1.34% | +1.27% | 42 | 95.2% |", "| 煤炭 | -0.38% | -0.63% | 39 | 41.0% |", "| 商贸零售 | -0.49% | -1.17% | 108 | 25.0% |", "| 交通运输 | -0.78% | -0.75% | 116 | 30.2% |", "| 社会服务 | -1.34% | -1.29% | 57 | 17.5% |", "| 汽车 | -1.40% | -1.84% | 247 | 20.6% |", "| 公用事业 | -1.60% | -1.59% | 102 | 11.8% |", "| 纺织服饰 | -1.70% | -2.29% | 101 | 17.8% |", "| 食品饮料 | -1.86% | -2.06% | 126 | 12.7% |", "| 非银金融 | -1.95% | -1.97% | 71 | 4.2% |", "跌幅靠前行业:", "国防军工(-4.64%)、计算机(-4.40%)、电子(-4.18%)、医药生物(-3.52%)、通信(-3.29%)" ] }, { "title": "八、高成交核心票 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 代码 | 成交额(亿) | 涨跌 |", "|------|-----------|------|", "| 688825 | 151.1 | +0.80% |", "| 300308 | 140.1 | -2.94% |", "| 300502 | 114.3 | -5.60% |", "| 300750 | 88.1 | -2.10% |", "| 603259 | 85.8 | -3.10% |", "| 688256 | 77.1 | -5.68% |", "| 603986 | 66.4 | -2.70% |", "| 002384 | 57.5 | -4.12% |", "| 300394 | 57.0 | -4.24% |", "| 601899 | 55.3 | +1.38% |" ] }, { "title": "十、极端异动", "paragraphs": [ "涨幅前五: 300504.SZ 天邑股份(+20.01%)、301682.SZ 宏明电子(+20.00%)、301479.SZ 弘景光电(+20.00%)、301314.SZ 科瑞思(+20.00%)、300539.SZ 横河精密(+20.00%)", "跌幅前五: 688203.SH 海正生材(-16.56%)、300618.SZ 寒锐钴业(-16.33%)、301488.SZ 豪恩汽电(-15.91%)、300698.SZ 万马科技(-15.89%)、301536.SZ 星宸科技(-14.56%)", "---", "*数据: Tushare / market-data-platform | 主题: 研究编辑部 | 生成: 2026-10-27 18:45*" ] }, { "title": "亚洲市场概览", "paragraphs": [ "| 市场 | 指数 | 数据日期 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 状态 |", "| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |", "| 香港 | 恒生指数 | 2026-10-27 | 23041.32 | -0.73% | 已收盘 |", "| 日本 | 日经225 | 2026-10-27 | 63268.37 | +1.73% | 已收盘 |", "| 韩国 | KOSPI | 2026-10-27 | 5638.34 | +3.09% | 已收盘 |", "- [香港收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^HSI/history/)；2026-10-27T08:00:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.6c86df8501ce6bb5618e85f493af1aa5d72cba54b00cd1a516c9d2a036e94c40`", "- [日本收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^N225/history/)；2026-10-27T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.30a69f936f79d1f4355dc63362f2af5e083bf049bc81ad6980937ade3a33519d`", "- [韩国收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^KS11/history/)；2026-10-27T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.69dfcba9f60b6b4902cc15953b94ba3ff7c3219eb6da23958ba97ebf49a1a835`", "来源时间为交易所日历规定的实际收盘时间；日线时间戳仅标识当地交易日。" ] } ], "source_url": "reports/2026-10-27-evening.md", "summary": "目标日期 2026-10-27；原报告生成于 2026-10-27 18:45（北京时间）。" }, { "id": "2026-10-28-evening", "date": "2026-10-28", "kind": "evening", "title": "收盘复盘（2026-10-28）", "sections": [ { "title": "报告信息", "paragraphs": [ "生成时间: 2026-10-28 18:45:17.692316", "数据日期: 2026-10-28", "报告生成方式: scheduled", "本报告按计划生成，生成时间为本次实际运行时间。" ] }, { "title": "一、市场状态", "paragraphs": [ "- 状态: 偏热。", "- 热度 / 脆弱度: 86.9 / 10（观察分）。", "- 口径: 热度、脆弱度与六维分数均为市场状态观察分，不直接映射仓位，也不构成交易指令。" ] }, { "title": "六维观察", "paragraphs": [ "| 维度 | 观察分 | 状态 | 证据 |", "|---|---:|---|---|", "| 流动性 | 55.4 | 偏强 | 成交额/历史中位 1.03x；成交额分位 55.0% |", "| 广度 | 91.8 | 较强 | 上涨率 74.6%；个股中位涨跌 1.3%；站上VWAP占比 67.1% |", "| 赚钱效应 | 85.3 | 较强 | 涨停率 1.3%；涨幅超5%占比 12.0% |", "| 亏钱风险 | 2.2 | 低风险 | 跌停率 0.1%；跌幅超5%占比 1.0% |", "| 趋势确认 | 98.4 | 较强 | 上涨指数占比 100.0%；指数中位涨跌 2.0%；指数收盘位置 77.1% |", "| 轮动质量 | 91.9 | 较强 | 上涨行业占比 87.5%；行业中位涨跌 1.2%；领涨集中度 25.2% |" ] }, { "title": "核心矛盾", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "明日验证", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "昨日验证复盘", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "数据完整度与校准", "paragraphs": [ "- 完整度: 高（97%）；六维可用: 6/6。", "- 警告: 赚钱效应、亏钱风险存在缺项，观察分按可用指标重加权。", "- 校准: 暂定观察刻度（未回测）。" ] }, { "title": "二、指数总览", "paragraphs": [ "上证指数: 3681.47 [OK] +0.91% | 成交 7510.19亿", "深证成指: 11473.18 [OK] +2.02% | 成交 4353.78亿", "创业板指: 2634.76 [OK] +3.40% | 成交 1832.25亿", "科创50: 1282.93 [OK] +2.45% | 成交 756.76亿", "沪深300: 4083.87 [OK] +0.85% | 成交 4192.79亿", "中证500: 6640.89 [OK] +1.99% | 成交 2842.88亿", "中证1000: 6578.10 [OK] +2.35% | 成交 3374.64亿" ] }, { "title": "三、市场总览", "paragraphs": [ "全市场中位数涨跌 [OK] +1.34% | 成交额加权涨跌 +3.24% | 总成交 1.64万亿", "> 成交额加权与中位数偏离 1.9pp，高成交标的相对偏强", "上涨 4156 家 | 下跌 1239 家 | 平盘 175 家 | 上涨率 74.6%", "站上 VWAP 比例: 67.1% | 开盘跳空: +0.37% | 日内振幅中位数: 3.81% | 收盘位置: 63.6%", "涨跌分布: -inf~-9.9%:15 -9.9~-7%:11 -7~-5%:32 -5~-3%:71 -3~-1%:397 -1~0%:713 0~1%:1181 1~3%:1633 3~5%:846 5~7%:354 7~9.9%:166 9.9~inf%:151" ] }, { "title": "四、涨跌停", "paragraphs": [ "涨停 74 家 | 跌停 8 家 | 涨幅>5% 671 家 | 跌幅>5% 58 家", "> 最高连板: 5 板", "涨停代表: 儒竞科技、得邦照明、杰克科技、莱美药业、百洋股份、泰山石油、斯迪克、博杰股份、西子洁能、百纳千成、今创集团、科森科技" ] }, { "title": "五、资金动向", "paragraphs": [ "大单资金代理 [OK] +466.98亿 | 净流入 2560 家 / 净流出 962 家" ] }, { "title": "六、融资融券", "paragraphs": [ "两融数据暂缺（T+1延迟）" ] }, { "title": "七、行业板块 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 行业 | 均涨跌 | 中位数 | 家数 | 上涨率 |", "|------|--------|--------|------|--------|", "| 电子 | +4.06% | +3.57% | 435 | 94.7% |", "| 汽车 | +3.25% | +2.90% | 247 | 84.2% |", "| 机械设备 | +3.20% | +2.80% | 612 | 86.3% |", "| 通信 | +2.37% | +1.95% | 151 | 84.8% |", "| 家用电器 | +2.27% | +1.73% | 94 | 78.7% |", "| 国防军工 | +2.27% | +2.22% | 135 | 80.0% |", "| 基础化工 | +2.15% | +1.61% | 351 | 76.6% |", "| 传媒 | +2.03% | +1.45% | 176 | 79.0% |", "| 医药生物 | +1.87% | +1.21% | 464 | 74.1% |", "| 有色金属 | +1.77% | +1.34% | 129 | 79.8% |", "跌幅靠前行业:", "非银金融(-0.54%)、银行(-0.35%)、食品饮料(-0.19%)、农林牧渔(-0.06%)、美容护理(+0.05%)" ] }, { "title": "八、高成交核心票 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 代码 | 成交额(亿) | 涨跌 |", "|------|-----------|------|", "| 300308 | 235.7 | +10.28% |", "| 688825 | 161.9 | +3.16% |", "| 300502 | 150.9 | +8.08% |", "| 603986 | 122.8 | +7.77% |", "| 300750 | 102.4 | -1.66% |", "| 688256 | 90.0 | +4.93% |", "| 300394 | 73.7 | +6.79% |", "| 300223 | 72.7 | +18.37% |", "| 600276 | 72.4 | +6.17% |", "| 600487 | 63.4 | +4.17% |" ] }, { "title": "十、极端异动", "paragraphs": [ "涨幅前五: 920220.BJ 朗信电气(+30.00%)、920896.BJ 旺成科技(+29.94%)、300291.SZ 百纳千成(+20.00%)、300613.SZ 富瀚微(+20.00%)、300806.SZ 斯迪克(+20.00%)", "跌幅前五: 688066.SH *ST航图(-18.10%)、688783.SH 西安奕材(-17.20%)、301207.SZ 华兰疫苗(-13.79%)、688668.SH 鼎通科技(-11.39%)、920438.BJ 戈碧迦(-10.26%)", "---", "*数据: Tushare / market-data-platform | 主题: 研究编辑部 | 生成: 2026-10-28 18:45*" ] }, { "title": "亚洲市场概览", "paragraphs": [ "| 市场 | 指数 | 数据日期 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 状态 |", "| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |", "| 香港 | 恒生指数 | 2026-10-28 | 23094.83 | +0.23% | 已收盘 |", "| 日本 | 日经225 | 2026-10-28 | 63954.19 | +1.08% | 已收盘 |", "| 韩国 | KOSPI | 2026-10-28 | 6012.44 | +6.63% | 已收盘 |", "- [香港收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^HSI/history/)；2026-10-28T08:00:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.a31fd206960c01ca13d0f283c9a4a599c7bded50553de093e1d8b254b6eedf84`", "- [日本收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^N225/history/)；2026-10-28T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.a3bfede3bd23ad5e66b67b3e3d3d0d2a3003411612295bbe34f0a9961cf837ee`", "- [韩国收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^KS11/history/)；2026-10-28T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.4af3dda3e5d98e3b30b6f132317c3868aac3aa597c4b9433fa0fb76316224394`", "来源时间为交易所日历规定的实际收盘时间；日线时间戳仅标识当地交易日。" ] } ], "source_url": "reports/2026-10-28-evening.md", "summary": "目标日期 2026-10-28；原报告生成于 2026-10-28 18:45（北京时间）。" }, { "id": "2026-10-29-evening", "date": "2026-10-29", "kind": "evening", "title": "收盘复盘（2026-10-29）", "sections": [ { "title": "报告信息", "paragraphs": [ "生成时间: 2026-10-30 11:27:21.275304", "数据日期: 2026-10-29", "报告生成方式: backfill", "本报告为历史数据补发，生成时间是本次重建时间，不代表当时已发布。" ] }, { "title": "一、市场状态", "paragraphs": [ "- 状态: 偏冷且脆弱。", "- 热度 / 脆弱度: 14.2 / 59.2（观察分）。", "- 口径: 热度、脆弱度与六维分数均为市场状态观察分，不直接映射仓位，也不构成交易指令。" ] }, { "title": "六维观察", "paragraphs": [ "| 维度 | 观察分 | 状态 | 证据 |", "|---|---:|---|---|", "| 流动性 | 48.4 | 中性 | 成交额/历史中位 0.98x；成交额分位 50.0% |", "| 广度 | 0 | 较弱 | 上涨率 14.0%；个股中位涨跌 -2.6%；站上VWAP占比 13.9% |", "| 赚钱效应 | 24.3 | 较弱 | 涨停率 0.7%；涨幅超5%占比 1.9% |", "| 亏钱风险 | 87.8 | 高风险 | 跌停率 0.9%；跌幅超5%占比 17.8% |", "| 趋势确认 | 0 | 较弱 | 上涨指数占比 0.0%；指数中位涨跌 -2.9%；指数收盘位置 9.1% |", "| 轮动质量 | 2.1 | 较弱 | 上涨行业占比 6.2%；行业中位涨跌 -2.0%；领涨集中度 100.0% |" ] }, { "title": "核心矛盾", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "明日验证", "paragraphs": [ "- 下一观察日跌幅超过 5% 的占比下降，才算尾部亏钱效应缓和；条件: 跌幅超5%占比 < 17.8%" ] }, { "title": "昨日验证复盘", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "数据完整度与校准", "paragraphs": [ "- 完整度: 高（97%）；六维可用: 6/6。", "- 警告: 赚钱效应、亏钱风险存在缺项，观察分按可用指标重加权。", "- 校准: 暂定观察刻度（未回测）。" ] }, { "title": "二、指数总览", "paragraphs": [ "上证指数: 3651.43 [WARN] -0.82% | 成交 7156.21亿", "深证成指: 11138.20 [WARN] -2.92% | 成交 4175.30亿", "创业板指: 2517.59 [WARN] -4.45% | 成交 1736.10亿", "科创50: 1228.09 [WARN] -4.27% | 成交 711.00亿", "沪深300: 4041.84 [WARN] -1.03% | 成交 4118.93亿", "中证500: 6453.72 [WARN] -2.82% | 成交 2715.52亿", "中证1000: 6378.78 [WARN] -3.03% | 成交 3209.32亿" ] }, { "title": "三、市场总览", "paragraphs": [ "全市场中位数涨跌 [WARN] -2.60% | 成交额加权涨跌 -3.28% | 总成交 1.57万亿", "> 成交额加权与中位数偏离 0.7pp，高成交标的相对偏弱", "上涨 781 家 | 下跌 4728 家 | 平盘 61 家 | 上涨率 14.0%", "站上 VWAP 比例: 13.9% | 开盘跳空: -0.41% | 日内振幅中位数: 4.04% | 收盘位置: 9.1%", "涨跌分布: -inf~-9.9%:133 -9.9~-7%:317 -7~-5%:540 -5~-3%:1419 -3~-1%:1793 -1~0%:526 0~1%:355 1~3%:289 3~5%:94 5~7%:42 7~9.9%:16 9.9~inf%:46" ] }, { "title": "四、涨跌停", "paragraphs": [ "涨停 39 家 | 跌停 52 家 | 涨幅>5% 104 家 | 跌幅>5% 992 家", "> 最高连板: 4 板", "涨停代表: 光洋股份、一鸣食品、宇晶股份、友阿股份、中国卫星、冰山冷热、海阳科技、东方海洋、天顺风能、桂林三金、西部材料、和泰机电" ] }, { "title": "五、资金动向", "paragraphs": [ "大单资金代理 [WARN] -555.88亿 | 净流入 690 家 / 净流出 2851 家" ] }, { "title": "六、融资融券", "paragraphs": [ "两融数据暂缺（T+1延迟）" ] }, { "title": "七、行业板块 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 行业 | 均涨跌 | 中位数 | 家数 | 上涨率 |", "|------|--------|--------|------|--------|", "| 银行 | +1.98% | +1.71% | 42 | 95.2% |", "| 煤炭 | +0.51% | +0.38% | 39 | 56.4% |", "| 交通运输 | -0.47% | -0.38% | 116 | 34.5% |", "| 食品饮料 | -0.59% | -0.75% | 126 | 35.7% |", "| 国防军工 | -0.64% | -0.69% | 135 | 36.3% |", "| 公用事业 | -0.92% | -1.07% | 102 | 27.5% |", "| 非银金融 | -1.41% | -1.51% | 72 | 15.3% |", "| 石油石化 | -1.42% | -1.71% | 49 | 24.5% |", "| 农林牧渔 | -1.45% | -1.59% | 77 | 14.3% |", "| 社会服务 | -1.61% | -1.41% | 57 | 15.8% |", "跌幅靠前行业:", "电子(-5.43%)、通信(-4.03%)、其他(-3.69%)、汽车(-3.45%)、计算机(-3.40%)" ] }, { "title": "八、高成交核心票 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 名称 | 代码 | 成交额(亿) | 涨跌 |", "|------|------|-----------|------|", "| 中际旭创 | 300308.SZ | 194.8 | -8.53% |", "| 新易盛 | 300502.SZ | 139.0 | -11.06% |", "| 天孚通信 | 300394.SZ | 125.3 | -19.77% |", "| 长鑫科技 | 688825.SH | 119.5 | -3.36% |", "| 兆易创新 | 603986.SH | 99.1 | -4.79% |", "| 宁德时代 | 300750.SZ | 85.8 | -0.03% |", "| 寒武纪 | 688256.SH | 80.8 | -4.70% |", "| 东山精密 | 002384.SZ | 69.4 | -10.00% |", "| 君正股份 | 300223.SZ | 65.8 | -0.29% |", "| 亨通光电 | 600487.SH | 62.8 | -7.98% |" ] }, { "title": "九、热门概念 TOP5", "paragraphs": [ "| 概念 | 涨幅 | 龙头 | 涨停数 |", "|------|------|------|--------|", "| 太空算力 | +1.89% | 上海港湾(+9.98%) | 1 |", "| 银行 | +1.74% | 青岛银行(+8.02%) | 0 |", "| 军工电子 | +1.02% | 西测测试(+11.75%) | 0 |", "| 低轨卫星 | +0.71% | 中国卫星(+10.00%) | 1 |", "| HALO概念 | +0.71% | 中国广核(+7.22%) | 0 |" ] }, { "title": "十、极端异动", "paragraphs": [ "涨幅前五: 301079.SZ 邵阳液压(+20.01%)、301232.SZ 飞沃科技(+17.09%)、300177.SZ 中海达(+14.19%)、301155.SZ 海力风电(+12.43%)、301446.SZ 福事特(+12.34%)", "跌幅前五: 300394.SZ 天孚通信(-19.77%)、301718.SZ(-17.58%)、920000.BJ 安徽凤凰(-16.15%)、301205.SZ 联特科技(-15.84%)、688525.SH 佰维存储(-15.79%)" ] }, { "title": "海外主题研究证据", "paragraphs": [ "回溯探索性研究，不是当日预测；未经历史时点数据认证。", "研究：overseas-semiconductor-sox-20261029；样本：2020-01-02–2026-10-16；生成时间（UTC）：2026-10-29T15:46:13.930847+00:00；源码版本：5122f1abd54bc69037631a4d45f8e28c24a29647。", "MSE 改善为正表示误差下降，为负表示误差上升；区间跨零不能证明存在改善。", "sw_semiconductor.gap.lag0：sw_semiconductor；gap；滞后 0 个交易日；n=1643；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=0.057998，95% 区间 [0.0340489, 0.0894525]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "sw_semiconductor.post_open.lag0：sw_semiconductor；post_open；滞后 0 个交易日；n=1643；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=0.00102981，95% 区间 [-0.00317442, 0.00454962]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "sw_semiconductor.gap.lag1：sw_semiconductor；gap；滞后 1 个交易日；n=1634；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=-0.00164728，95% 区间 [-0.00484915, 0.00124979]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "sw_semiconductor.post_open.lag1：sw_semiconductor；post_open；滞后 1 个交易日；n=1634；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=-0.000204282，95% 区间 [-0.00454033, 0.00395332]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "512480.next_tradable_open.lag0：512480；next_tradable_open；滞后 0 个交易日；n=1398；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=-0.00104362，95% 区间 [-0.00761677, 0.00543725]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "512480.next_tradable_open.lag1：512480；next_tradable_open；滞后 1 个交易日；n=1390；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=-0.00582273，95% 区间 [-0.0142061, 0.00235395]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "来源 hsi_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 1f0272f33ea63e6d5ef4c8974d0b0309575f8eaefdf89c166fe6bedd63f12851）", "来源 n225_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 74e83c4cebdbbd5bd8799a83cd3803e6c1ec44359ad37e92f5364fd25e8c36f2）", "来源 ks11_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 75fb3da91d9f660aeb37672a4a2cf038fbb25a26f879f0a11a5df1bf76c9b2c0）", "来源 spx_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 cc86cef984a9a42cba83791c96f0567320cc3843dbde1d24a0a5e94c48c5c674）", "来源 000300_sh_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 560f6a471acaeaa52e75a0f6f6f8fd10d19cadc430121dac41f5014ee437d3d6）", "来源 801081_si_sw_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 078142f897e466eda51670793dfce10e5df2fef05a5aa22dec9d0d1a32907f36）", "来源 usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily：[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)（SHA-256 45168c9a3c6b78f9a9726d28fd5a5aa0df23f57e5b4da76ef0ec973ddf079455）", "来源 usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily：[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)（SHA-256 b0bcb568200f5134d3778b190b5529be20a522ba4838bb7107e3c4783ba46149）", "来源 eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily：[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)（SHA-256 d46af73dc4b91cc1310fb18207f4690e50c5cee9ae86641c81829f1aabfa77a8）", "来源 510300_sh_fund_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 fc178cd7fbe3114dca16314786c892cb8b9b7fd753827a2c88ca5f94fada540f）", "来源 510300_sh_fund_adj：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 3211a444a8de8369654c4810fa207a0ada5289cfb0ea2f41bc9c8b4ce6ae705a）", "来源 512480_sh_fund_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 bf12a8a7889e54b16dd2a34afc8a6ccc44e5ac086f9a39440fb737f361f46d22）", "来源 512480_sh_fund_adj：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 c8b930ef45cfb6bde4351eab01768b9993448ac8cb01eade91416706fe36b80c）", "来源 yahoo_sox：[https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^SOX/history/](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^SOX/history/)（SHA-256 f14f226ff7403e3196e6b6d9c1acc91f4cb0170116de4d91423bdf739f7b70be）", "局限：Assumed daily-close availability; no historical retrieval vintages.", "局限：Previously inspected years; not an untouched holdout.", "局限：Extant ETF selection and opening-price fill proxies; no capacity proof.", "局限：Descriptive block-bootstrap intervals; no multiple-testing correction.", "局限：One-session delay is sensitivity analysis, not verified provider latency.", "---", "*数据: Tushare / market-data-platform | 主题: 研究编辑部 | 生成: 2026-10-30 11:27*" ] }, { "title": "亚洲市场概览", "paragraphs": [ "| 市场 | 指数 | 数据日期 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 状态 |", "| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |", "| 香港 | 恒生指数 | 2026-10-29 | 22958.65 | -0.59% | 已收盘 |", "| 日本 | 日经225 | 2026-10-29 | 64659.47 | +1.10% | 已收盘 |", "| 韩国 | KOSPI | 2026-10-29 | 5937.66 | -1.24% | 已收盘 |", "", "- [香港收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^HSI/history/)；2026-10-29T08:00:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.52577bcf9051cd858c5639e6c1dd846017d6721a5781111159bb8bedd8d1a0a7`", "- [日本收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^N225/history/)；2026-10-29T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.3b19ee2c7899fd32af07eb9e704b07f9043e8b62cc3f92369d85d0b7b66ba5ad`", "- [韩国收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^KS11/history/)；2026-10-29T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.629551d1d883f7326c335974436f66d72ec79e02c6de7d2cf96a8a97cdd9f2fc`", "来源时间为交易所日历规定的实际收盘时间；日线时间戳仅标识当地交易日。" ] } ], "source_url": "reports/2026-10-29-evening.md", "generation_mode": "backfill", "summary": "目标日期 2026-10-29；原报告生成于 2026-10-30 11:27（北京时间）。" }, { "id": "2026-10-30-evening", "date": "2026-10-30", "kind": "evening", "title": "收盘复盘（2026-10-30）", "sections": [ { "title": "报告信息", "paragraphs": [ "生成时间: 2026-10-30 18:45:17.107323", "数据日期: 2026-10-30", "报告生成方式: scheduled", "本报告按计划生成，生成时间为本次实际运行时间。" ] }, { "title": "一、市场状态", "paragraphs": [ "- 状态: 偏冷且脆弱。", "- 热度 / 脆弱度: 17.4 / 67.7（观察分）。", "- 口径: 热度、脆弱度与六维分数均为市场状态观察分，不直接映射仓位，也不构成交易指令。" ] }, { "title": "六维观察", "paragraphs": [ "| 维度 | 观察分 | 状态 | 证据 |", "|---|---:|---|---|", "| 流动性 | 70 | 较强 | 成交额/历史中位 1.08x；成交额分位 75.0% |", "| 广度 | 0 | 较弱 | 上涨率 16.0%；个股中位涨跌 -3.1%；站上VWAP占比 11.1% |", "| 赚钱效应 | 33.5 | 偏弱 | 涨停率 0.9%；涨幅超5%占比 2.2% |", "| 亏钱风险 | 100 | 高风险 | 跌停率 1.7%；跌幅超5%占比 26.6% |", "| 趋势确认 | 0 | 较弱 | 上涨指数占比 0.0%；指数中位涨跌 -2.9%；指数收盘位置 4.2% |", "| 轮动质量 | 2.1 | 较弱 | 上涨行业占比 6.2%；行业中位涨跌 -2.5%；领涨集中度 100.0% |" ] }, { "title": "核心矛盾", "paragraphs": [ "- 资金净流入覆盖面没有转化为同等价格广度；证据: 大单净流入覆盖率: 46.2%；上涨率: 16.0%", "- 流动性活跃，但上涨参与度不足；证据: 流动性观察分: 70；广度观察分: 0" ] }, { "title": "明日验证", "paragraphs": [ "- 下一观察日上涨家数占比高于当前值，才算广度开始修复；条件: 上涨率 > 16.0%", "- 下一观察日跌幅超过 5% 的占比下降，才算尾部亏钱效应缓和；条件: 跌幅超5%占比 < 26.6%" ] }, { "title": "昨日验证复盘", "paragraphs": [ "- N/A" ] }, { "title": "数据完整度与校准", "paragraphs": [ "- 完整度: 高（97%）；六维可用: 6/6。", "- 警告: 赚钱效应、亏钱风险存在缺项，观察分按可用指标重加权。", "- 校准: 暂定观察刻度（未回测）。" ] }, { "title": "二、指数总览", "paragraphs": [ "上证指数: 3599.02 [WARN] -1.44% | 成交 7642.27亿", "深证成指: 10833.78 [WARN] -2.73% | 成交 4518.90亿", "创业板指: 2413.63 [WARN] -4.13% | 成交 1847.13亿", "科创50: 1160.84 [WARN] -5.48% | 成交 703.74亿", "沪深300: 3985.50 [WARN] -1.39% | 成交 4568.56亿", "中证500: 6266.19 [WARN] -2.91% | 成交 2850.35亿", "中证1000: 6161.23 [WARN] -3.41% | 成交 3384.45亿" ] }, { "title": "三、市场总览", "paragraphs": [ "全市场中位数涨跌 [WARN] -3.13% | 成交额加权涨跌 -3.30% | 总成交 1.69万亿", "上涨 893 家 | 下跌 4602 家 | 平盘 76 家 | 上涨率 16.0%", "站上 VWAP 比例: 11.1% | 开盘跳空: -1.30% | 日内振幅中位数: 5.72% | 收盘位置: 8.1%", "涨跌分布: -inf~-9.9%:182 -9.9~-7%:456 -7~-5%:837 -5~-3%:1403 -3~-1%:1297 -1~0%:427 0~1%:417 1~3%:312 3~5%:116 5~7%:49 7~9.9%:16 9.9~inf%:59" ] }, { "title": "四、涨跌停", "paragraphs": [ "涨停 49 家 | 跌停 93 家 | 涨幅>5% 124 家 | 跌幅>5% 1483 家", "> 最高连板: 5 板", "涨停代表: 首旅酒店、巴比食品、上海洗霸、黑牡丹、红太阳、锦江航运、新乳业、泸州老窖、浙江东日、百花医药、万邦医药、青岛食品" ] }, { "title": "五、资金动向", "paragraphs": [ "大单资金代理 [OK] +26.44亿 | 净流入 1601 家 / 净流出 1867 家" ] }, { "title": "六、融资融券", "paragraphs": [ "两融数据暂缺（T+1延迟）" ] }, { "title": "七、行业板块 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 行业 | 均涨跌 | 中位数 | 家数 | 上涨率 |", "|------|--------|--------|------|--------|", "| 银行 | +0.77% | +0.60% | 42 | 69.0% |", "| 食品饮料 | +0.69% | +0.62% | 126 | 55.6% |", "| 医药生物 | -0.53% | -0.78% | 464 | 38.8% |", "| 社会服务 | -0.75% | -1.04% | 57 | 33.3% |", "| 交通运输 | -0.95% | -0.43% | 116 | 37.9% |", "| 石油石化 | -1.04% | -1.26% | 49 | 30.6% |", "| 煤炭 | -1.11% | -0.81% | 39 | 33.3% |", "| 钢铁 | -1.25% | -1.02% | 39 | 15.4% |", "| 非银金融 | -1.43% | -1.32% | 72 | 13.9% |", "| 美容护理 | -1.68% | -1.35% | 33 | 30.3% |", "跌幅靠前行业:", "传媒(-5.43%)、计算机(-5.35%)、通信(-5.33%)、电子(-4.83%)、国防军工(-4.65%)" ] }, { "title": "八、高成交核心票 TOP10", "paragraphs": [ "| 名称 | 代码 | 成交额(亿) | 涨跌 |", "|------|------|-----------|------|", "| 新易盛 | 300502.SZ | 216.1 | -14.19% |", "| 中际旭创 | 300308.SZ | 206.6 | -4.99% |", "| 长鑫科技 | 688825.SH | 121.5 | -2.50% |", "| 宁德时代 | 300750.SZ | 103.1 | +1.68% |", "| 兆易创新 | 603986.SH | 100.2 | -6.59% |", "| 胜宏科技 | 300476.SZ | 86.3 | -13.31% |", "| 贵州茅台 | 600519.SH | 82.6 | +2.81% |", "| 寒武纪 | 688256.SH | 82.1 | -3.61% |", "| 东山精密 | 002384.SZ | 72.2 | -8.58% |", "| 天孚通信 | 300394.SZ | 70.5 | -8.42% |" ] }, { "title": "九、热门概念 TOP5", "paragraphs": [ "| 概念 | 涨幅 | 龙头 | 涨停数 |", "|------|------|------|--------|", "| 酿酒行业 | +3.63% | 迎驾贡酒(+9.99%) | 4 |", "| 白酒 | +3.23% | 迎驾贡酒(+9.99%) | 4 |", "| CRO | +2.64% | 万邦医药(+20.00%) | 2 |", "| 芬太尼 | +1.59% | 羚锐制药(+10.00%) | 1 |", "| 减肥药 | +1.54% | 万邦医药(+20.00%) | 1 |" ] }, { "title": "十、极端异动", "paragraphs": [ "涨幅前五: 688066.SH *ST航图(+20.04%)、300030.SZ 阳普医疗(+20.03%)、301132.SZ 满坤科技(+20.01%)、301187.SZ 欧圣电气(+20.00%)、301520.SZ 万邦医药(+20.00%)", "跌幅前五: 920306.BJ(-23.28%)、300911.SZ 亿田智能(-19.33%)、688308.SH 欧科亿(-18.83%)、300803.SZ 指南针(-18.37%)、301378.SZ 通达海(-18.05%)" ] }, { "title": "海外主题研究证据", "paragraphs": [ "回溯探索性研究，不是当日预测；未经历史时点数据认证。", "研究：overseas-semiconductor-sox-20261029；样本：2020-01-02–2026-10-16；生成时间（UTC）：2026-10-29T15:46:13.930847+00:00；源码版本：5122f1abd54bc69037631a4d45f8e28c24a29647。", "MSE 改善为正表示误差下降，为负表示误差上升；区间跨零不能证明存在改善。", "sw_semiconductor.gap.lag0：sw_semiconductor；gap；滞后 0 个交易日；n=1643；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=0.057998，95% 区间 [0.0340489, 0.0894525]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "sw_semiconductor.post_open.lag0：sw_semiconductor；post_open；滞后 0 个交易日；n=1643；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=0.00102981，95% 区间 [-0.00317442, 0.00454962]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "sw_semiconductor.gap.lag1：sw_semiconductor；gap；滞后 1 个交易日；n=1634；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=-0.00164728，95% 区间 [-0.00484915, 0.00124979]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "sw_semiconductor.post_open.lag1：sw_semiconductor；post_open；滞后 1 个交易日；n=1634；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=-0.000204282，95% 区间 [-0.00454033, 0.00395332]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "512480.next_tradable_open.lag0：512480；next_tradable_open；滞后 0 个交易日；n=1398；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=-0.00104362，95% 区间 [-0.00761677, 0.00543725]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "512480.next_tradable_open.lag1：512480；next_tradable_open；滞后 1 个交易日；n=1390；基线=global；增广=theme_residual；MSE 改善=-0.00582273，95% 区间 [-0.0142061, 0.00235395]；来源 ID：000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。", "来源 hsi_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 1f0272f33ea63e6d5ef4c8974d0b0309575f8eaefdf89c166fe6bedd63f12851）", "来源 n225_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 74e83c4cebdbbd5bd8799a83cd3803e6c1ec44359ad37e92f5364fd25e8c36f2）", "来源 ks11_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 75fb3da91d9f660aeb37672a4a2cf038fbb25a26f879f0a11a5df1bf76c9b2c0）", "来源 spx_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 cc86cef984a9a42cba83791c96f0567320cc3843dbde1d24a0a5e94c48c5c674）", "来源 000300_sh_tushare_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 560f6a471acaeaa52e75a0f6f6f8fd10d19cadc430121dac41f5014ee437d3d6）", "来源 801081_si_sw_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 078142f897e466eda51670793dfce10e5df2fef05a5aa22dec9d0d1a32907f36）", "来源 usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily：[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)（SHA-256 45168c9a3c6b78f9a9726d28fd5a5aa0df23f57e5b4da76ef0ec973ddf079455）", "来源 usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily：[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)（SHA-256 b0bcb568200f5134d3778b190b5529be20a522ba4838bb7107e3c4783ba46149）", "来源 eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily：[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)（SHA-256 d46af73dc4b91cc1310fb18207f4690e50c5cee9ae86641c81829f1aabfa77a8）", "来源 510300_sh_fund_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 fc178cd7fbe3114dca16314786c892cb8b9b7fd753827a2c88ca5f94fada540f）", "来源 510300_sh_fund_adj：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 3211a444a8de8369654c4810fa207a0ada5289cfb0ea2f41bc9c8b4ce6ae705a）", "来源 512480_sh_fund_daily：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 bf12a8a7889e54b16dd2a34afc8a6ccc44e5ac086f9a39440fb737f361f46d22）", "来源 512480_sh_fund_adj：[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)（SHA-256 c8b930ef45cfb6bde4351eab01768b9993448ac8cb01eade91416706fe36b80c）", "来源 yahoo_sox：[https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^SOX/history/](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^SOX/history/)（SHA-256 f14f226ff7403e3196e6b6d9c1acc91f4cb0170116de4d91423bdf739f7b70be）", "局限：Assumed daily-close availability; no historical retrieval vintages.", "局限：Previously inspected years; not an untouched holdout.", "局限：Extant ETF selection and opening-price fill proxies; no capacity proof.", "局限：Descriptive block-bootstrap intervals; no multiple-testing correction.", "局限：One-session delay is sensitivity analysis, not verified provider latency.", "---", "*数据: Tushare / market-data-platform | 主题: 研究编辑部 | 生成: 2026-10-30 18:45*" ] }, { "title": "亚洲市场概览", "paragraphs": [ "| 市场 | 指数 | 数据日期 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 状态 |", "| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |", "| 香港 | 恒生指数 | 2026-10-30 | 23294.42 | +1.46% | 已收盘 |", "| 日本 | 日经225 | 2026-10-30 | 63290.11 | -2.12% | 已收盘 |", "| 韩国 | KOSPI | 2026-10-30 | 5730.74 | -3.48% | 已收盘 |", "", "- [香港收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^HSI/history/)；2026-10-30T08:00:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.2a170af09709dbe8387e4d864b30707086ee0d8eb84976ca98f05c8e40fe1531`", "- [日本收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^N225/history/)；2026-10-30T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.2bb5060e102303f4c568394491b4fb19ffbe162be1e24d33d8de4122b608263d`", "- [韩国收盘数据](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^KS11/history/)；2026-10-30T06:30:00+00:00；证据：`asia.close.9c057292dba400b2c05f22f8458af16869bec79a76a17c335db7e30e4f9c1604`", "来源时间为交易所日历规定的实际收盘时间；日线时间戳仅标识当地交易日。" ] } ], "source_url": "reports/2026-10-30-evening.md", "summary": "目标日期 2026-10-30；原报告生成于 2026-10-30 18:45（北京时间）。" } ] }