Asia market close review
Target date 2026-10-29; Source report generated at 2026-10-30 11:27 (Beijing time).
Asian market overview
Hong Kong · Hang Seng
-0.59%- Close
- 22958.65
- Status
- Closed session
Japan · Nikkei 225
+1.10%- Close
- 64659.47
- Status
- Closed session
Korea · KOSPI
-1.24%- Close
- 5937.66
- Status
- Closed session
Hong Kong · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-10-29T08:00:00+00:00
Japan · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-10-29T06:30:00+00:00
Korea · finance.yahoo.com · 2026-10-29T06:30:00+00:00
Source times use exchange-calendar session closes. Daily bar timestamps identify local sessions.
Full source links and evidence are available in the web report.
Market state
Status: Cool and fragile.
Heat / fragility: 14.2 / 59.2 (observation score).
Methodology: Heat, fragility, and six-dimension scores are market-state observation scores; they do not map directly to position sizing or constitute trading instructions.
Six-dimension observation
Liquidity
48.4 / 100- Status
- Neutral
Turnover / historical median 0.98x; Turnover percentile 50.0%
Breadth
0 / 100- Status
- Weak
Advancing share 14.0%; Median stock return -2.6%; Above-VWAP share 13.9%
Profit effect
24.3 / 100- Status
- Weak
limit-up rate 0.7%; Share gaining over 5% 1.9%
Loss risk
87.8 / 100- Status
- 高风险
limit-down rate 0.9%; Share falling over 5% 17.8%
Trend confirmation
0 / 100- Status
- Weak
Advancing index share 0.0%; Median index return -2.9%; index close position 9.1%
Rotation quality
2.1 / 100- Status
- Weak
Advancing sector share 6.2%; Median sector return -2.0%; Leader concentration 100.0%
Scale: 0 … 100
Observation score; higher loss-risk scores mean greater risk. Scores are not probabilities or trading instructions.
Next-day validation
下一观察日跌幅超过 5% 的占比下降, 才算尾部亏钱效应缓和; Condition: Share falling over 5% < 17.8%
Index overview
SSE Composite
-0.82%- Close level
- 3651.43
- Turnover (CNY 100m)
- 7156.21
SZSE Component
-2.92%- Close level
- 11138.20
- Turnover (CNY 100m)
- 4175.30
ChiNext Index
-4.45%- Close level
- 2517.59
- Turnover (CNY 100m)
- 1736.10
STAR Market 50
-4.27%- Close level
- 1228.09
- Turnover (CNY 100m)
- 711.00
CSI 300
-1.03%- Close level
- 4041.84
- Turnover (CNY 100m)
- 4118.93
CSI 500
-2.82%- Close level
- 6453.72
- Turnover (CNY 100m)
- 2715.52
CSI 1000
-3.03%- Close level
- 6378.78
- Turnover (CNY 100m)
- 3209.32
Market overview
%Median market return
-2.60%Turnover-weighted return
-3.28%Turnover weighting emphasizes high-turnover stocks; this is not an index return.
Turnover-weighted return minus median 0.7pp, 高成交标的相对偏弱
Total turnover
trillionTotal turnover
1.57 trillionMarket breadth
stocks- Up
- 781 stocks
- Down
- 4728 stocks
- Flat
- 61 stocks
Scale: 0 … 5,570 stocks
Advancing share
%Advancing share
14.0%Scale: 0 … 100 %
Intraday indicators
Share above VWAP
13.9%Scale: 0 … 100
Opening gap
-0.41%Scale: -5 … 5
Median intraday range
4.04%Scale: 0 … 5
Closing position
9.1%Scale: 0 … 100
Shares and positions use 0–100%; gap and range use separate scales.
return distribution
stocksBelow −9.9%
133- Share
- 2.4%
-9.9~-7%
317- Share
- 5.7%
-7~-5%
540- Share
- 9.7%
-5~-3%
1419- Share
- 25.5%
-3~-1%
1793- Share
- 32.2%
-1~0%
526- Share
- 9.4%
0~1%
355- Share
- 6.4%
1~3%
289- Share
- 5.2%
3~5%
94- Share
- 1.7%
5~7%
42- Share
- 0.8%
7~9.9%
16- Share
- 0.3%
At least +9.9%
46- Share
- 0.8%
Buckets follow the report; a bucket containing zero may include unchanged stocks and is not an advancing-stock count.
Price limits
stocks- Limit-up
- 39 stocks
- Limit-down
- 52 stocks
Scale: 0 … 91 stocks
Price-limit counts overlap with moves beyond 5%; compare groups separately.
Representative limit-up stocks: 光洋股份, 一鸣食品, 宇晶股份, 友阿股份, 中国卫星, 冰山冷热, 海阳科技, 东方海洋, 天顺风能, 桂林三金, 西部材料, 和泰机电
Gainers above 5% / Decliners below -5%
stocks- Return>5%
- 104 stocks
- Decline>5%
- 992 stocks
Scale: 0 … 1,096 stocks
Price-limit counts overlap with moves beyond 5%; compare groups separately.
Longest limit-up streak
Longest limit-up streak
4 consecutive limit-up sessionsLarge-order flow proxy
100mLarge-order flow proxy
-555.88 100mThe single flow bar shows its value and direction, not a share of turnover.
This flow proxy does not identify actual institutional trades.
Net-inflow stocks / Net-outflow stocks
stocks- Net inflows
- 690 stocks
- Net outflows
- 2851 stocks
Scale: 0 … 3,541 stocks
Industry sectors TOP10
Banking
+1.98%- median
- +1.71%
- Stock count
- 42
- Advancing share
- 95.2%
Coal
+0.51%- median
- +0.38%
- Stock count
- 39
- Advancing share
- 56.4%
Transportation
-0.47%- median
- -0.38%
- Stock count
- 116
- Advancing share
- 34.5%
Food and beverages
-0.59%- median
- -0.75%
- Stock count
- 126
- Advancing share
- 35.7%
Defense
-0.64%- median
- -0.69%
- Stock count
- 135
- Advancing share
- 36.3%
Utilities
-0.92%- median
- -1.07%
- Stock count
- 102
- Advancing share
- 27.5%
Non-bank financials
-1.41%- median
- -1.51%
- Stock count
- 72
- Advancing share
- 15.3%
Oil and petrochemicals
-1.42%- median
- -1.71%
- Stock count
- 49
- Advancing share
- 24.5%
Agriculture, forestry and fisheries
-1.45%- median
- -1.59%
- Stock count
- 77
- Advancing share
- 14.3%
Consumer services
-1.61%- median
- -1.41%
- Stock count
- 57
- Advancing share
- 15.8%
Worst-performing sectors:
Electronics(-5.43%), Telecom(-4.03%), Other(-3.69%), Automobiles(-3.45%), Computers(-3.40%)
Worst-performing sectors
Electronics
-5.43%Telecom
-4.03%Other
-3.69%Automobiles
-3.45%Computers
-3.40%Top 10 high-volume core stocks
中际旭创 300308.SZ
194.80 CNY 100m- Return
- -8.53%
新易盛 300502.SZ
139.00 CNY 100m- Return
- -11.06%
天孚通信 300394.SZ
125.30 CNY 100m- Return
- -19.77%
长鑫科技 688825.SH
119.50 CNY 100m- Return
- -3.36%
兆易创新 603986.SH
99.10 CNY 100m- Return
- -4.79%
宁德时代 300750.SZ
85.80 CNY 100m- Return
- -0.03%
寒武纪 688256.SH
80.80 CNY 100m- Return
- -4.70%
东山精密 002384.SZ
69.40 CNY 100m- Return
- -10.00%
君正股份 300223.SZ
65.80 CNY 100m- Return
- -0.29%
亨通光电 600487.SH
62.80 CNY 100m- Return
- -7.98%
Hot concepts TOP5
太空算力
+1.89%- leader
- 上海港湾(+9.98%)
- Limit-up count
- 1
Banking
+1.74%- leader
- 青岛银行(+8.02%)
- Limit-up count
- 0
军工电子
+1.02%- leader
- 西测测试(+11.75%)
- Limit-up count
- 0
低轨卫星
+0.71%- leader
- 中国卫星(+10.00%)
- Limit-up count
- 1
HALO概念
+0.71%- leader
- 中国广核(+7.22%)
- Limit-up count
- 0
Extreme movers
邵阳液压 301079.SZ
+20.01%飞沃科技 301232.SZ
+17.09%中海达 300177.SZ
+14.19%海力风电 301155.SZ
+12.43%福事特 301446.SZ
+12.34%天孚通信 300394.SZ
-19.77%301718.SZ
-17.58%安徽凤凰 920000.BJ
-16.15%联特科技 301205.SZ
-15.84%佰维存储 688525.SH
-15.79%Data completeness and calibration
Completeness: high (97%); Six dimensions available: 6/6.
Warning: Profit effect and loss risk have missing inputs; observation scores were reweighted using available metrics.
Calibration: provisional observation scale (not backtested).
Turnover
100mTurnover · — · 5 observations
Financing balance
100mFinancing balance · — · 5 observations
Market breadth dashboard
Money flow
宁德时代 300750.SZ
11.46 CNY 100m长江电力 600900.SH
11.07 CNY 100m工商银行 601398.SH
7.93 CNY 100m交通银行 601328.SH
5.39 CNY 100m中国银行 601988.SH
4.13 CNY 100m中国神华 601088.SH
2.98 CNY 100m伊利股份 600887.SH
2.80 CNY 100m成都银行 601838.SH
2.73 CNY 100m中际旭创 300308.SZ
-15.81 CNY 100m新易盛 300502.SZ
-10.53 CNY 100m亨通光电 600487.SH
-9.39 CNY 100m工业富联 601138.SH
-9.10 CNY 100m兆易创新 603986.SH
-8.71 CNY 100mVerified
Recent return distribution
stocksAdvancing stocks / Declining stocks / Unchanged stocks
4,526 / 909 / 137
2,252 / 3,157 / 161
606 / 4,922 / 42
4,156 / 1,239 / 175
781 / 4,728 / 61
Historical overseas-theme research
See the web report for research status and full comparisons.
Research comparisons and sources
This section preserves the source-language research.
回溯探索性研究,不是当日预测;未经历史时点数据认证。
研究:overseas-semiconductor-sox-20261029;样本:2020-01-02–2026-10-16;生成时间(UTC):2026-10-29T15:46:13.930847+00:00;源码版本:5122f1abd54bc69037631a4d45f8e28c24a29647。
MSE 改善为正表示误差下降,为负表示误差上升;区间跨零不能证明存在改善。
sw_semiconductor.gap.lag0:sw_semiconductor;gap;滞后 0 个交易日;n=1643;基线=global;增广=theme_residual;MSE 改善=0.057998,95% 区间 [0.0340489, 0.0894525];来源 ID:000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。
sw_semiconductor.post_open.lag0:sw_semiconductor;post_open;滞后 0 个交易日;n=1643;基线=global;增广=theme_residual;MSE 改善=0.00102981,95% 区间 [-0.00317442, 0.00454962];来源 ID:000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。
sw_semiconductor.gap.lag1:sw_semiconductor;gap;滞后 1 个交易日;n=1634;基线=global;增广=theme_residual;MSE 改善=-0.00164728,95% 区间 [-0.00484915, 0.00124979];来源 ID:000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。
sw_semiconductor.post_open.lag1:sw_semiconductor;post_open;滞后 1 个交易日;n=1634;基线=global;增广=theme_residual;MSE 改善=-0.000204282,95% 区间 [-0.00454033, 0.00395332];来源 ID:000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。
512480.next_tradable_open.lag0:512480;next_tradable_open;滞后 0 个交易日;n=1398;基线=global;增广=theme_residual;MSE 改善=-0.00104362,95% 区间 [-0.00761677, 0.00543725];来源 ID:000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。
512480.next_tradable_open.lag1:512480;next_tradable_open;滞后 1 个交易日;n=1390;基线=global;增广=theme_residual;MSE 改善=-0.00582273,95% 区间 [-0.0142061, 0.00235395];来源 ID:000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox。
来源 hsi_tushare_daily:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 1f0272f33ea63e6d5ef4c8974d0b0309575f8eaefdf89c166fe6bedd63f12851)
来源 n225_tushare_daily:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 74e83c4cebdbbd5bd8799a83cd3803e6c1ec44359ad37e92f5364fd25e8c36f2)
来源 ks11_tushare_daily:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 75fb3da91d9f660aeb37672a4a2cf038fbb25a26f879f0a11a5df1bf76c9b2c0)
来源 spx_tushare_daily:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 cc86cef984a9a42cba83791c96f0567320cc3843dbde1d24a0a5e94c48c5c674)
来源 000300_sh_tushare_daily:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 560f6a471acaeaa52e75a0f6f6f8fd10d19cadc430121dac41f5014ee437d3d6)
来源 801081_si_sw_daily:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 078142f897e466eda51670793dfce10e5df2fef05a5aa22dec9d0d1a32907f36)
来源 usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily:[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)(SHA-256 45168c9a3c6b78f9a9726d28fd5a5aa0df23f57e5b4da76ef0ec973ddf079455)
来源 usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily:[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)(SHA-256 b0bcb568200f5134d3778b190b5529be20a522ba4838bb7107e3c4783ba46149)
来源 eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily:[https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261](https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261)(SHA-256 d46af73dc4b91cc1310fb18207f4690e50c5cee9ae86641c81829f1aabfa77a8)
来源 510300_sh_fund_daily:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 fc178cd7fbe3114dca16314786c892cb8b9b7fd753827a2c88ca5f94fada540f)
来源 510300_sh_fund_adj:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 3211a444a8de8369654c4810fa207a0ada5289cfb0ea2f41bc9c8b4ce6ae705a)
来源 512480_sh_fund_daily:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 bf12a8a7889e54b16dd2a34afc8a6ccc44e5ac086f9a39440fb737f361f46d22)
来源 512480_sh_fund_adj:[https://tushare.pro/document/2](https://tushare.pro/document/2)(SHA-256 c8b930ef45cfb6bde4351eab01768b9993448ac8cb01eade91416706fe36b80c)
来源 yahoo_sox:[https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^SOX/history/](https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^SOX/history/)(SHA-256 f14f226ff7403e3196e6b6d9c1acc91f4cb0170116de4d91423bdf739f7b70be)
局限:Assumed daily-close availability; no historical retrieval vintages.
局限:Previously inspected years; not an untouched holdout.
局限:Extant ETF selection and opening-price fill proxies; no capacity proof.
局限:Descriptive block-bootstrap intervals; no multiple-testing correction.
局限:One-session delay is sensitivity analysis, not verified provider latency.
*Data: Tushare / market-data-platform | Desk: Research editorial | Generated: 2026-10-30 11:27*
Key sources
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261
- https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261
- https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://tushare.pro/document/2
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^SOX/history/
- Hong Kong close data
- Japan close data
- Korea close data
Original report and evidence (may include Chinese)
Market close review (2026-10-29)
Generated: 2026-10-30 11:27:21.275304 Data date: 2026-10-29 Report generation method: backfill
本报告为历史数据补发, 生成时间是本次重建时间, 不代表当时已发布.
20261029 周四 盘后点评
I. Market state
- Status: Cool and fragile.
- Heat / fragility: 14.2 / 59.2 (observation score).
- Methodology: Heat, fragility, and six-dimension scores are market-state observation scores; they do not map directly to position sizing or constitute trading instructions.
Six-dimension observation
| Dimension | observation score | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity | 48.4 | Neutral | Turnover / historical median 0.98x; Turnover percentile 50.0% |
| Breadth | 0 | Weak | Advancing share 14.0%; Median stock return -2.6%; Above-VWAP share 13.9% |
| Profit effect | 24.3 | Weak | limit-up rate 0.7%; Share gaining over 5% 1.9% |
| Loss risk | 87.8 | 高风险 | limit-down rate 0.9%; Share falling over 5% 17.8% |
| Trend confirmation | 0 | Weak | Advancing index share 0.0%; Median index return -2.9%; index close position 9.1% |
| Rotation quality | 2.1 | Weak | Advancing sector share 6.2%; Median sector return -2.0%; Leader concentration 100.0% |
Core tension
- N/A
Next-day validation
- 下一观察日跌幅超过 5% 的占比下降, 才算尾部亏钱效应缓和; Condition: Share falling over 5% < 17.8%
Prior-day validation review
- N/A
Data completeness and calibration
- Completeness: high (97%); Six dimensions available: 6/6.
- Warning: Profit effect and loss risk have missing inputs; observation scores were reweighted using available metrics.
- Calibration: provisional observation scale (not backtested).
II. Index overview
SSE Composite: 3651.43 [WARN] -0.82% | volume 7156.21 100m SZSE Component: 11138.20 [WARN] -2.92% | volume 4175.30 100m ChiNext Index: 2517.59 [WARN] -4.45% | volume 1736.10 100m STAR Market 50: 1228.09 [WARN] -4.27% | volume 711.00 100m CSI 300: 4041.84 [WARN] -1.03% | volume 4118.93 100m CSI 500: 6453.72 [WARN] -2.82% | volume 2715.52 100m CSI 1000: 6378.78 [WARN] -3.03% | volume 3209.32 100m
III. Market overview
Median market return [WARN] -2.60% | Turnover-weighted return -3.28% | Total turnover 1.57 trillion
Turnover-weighted return minus median 0.7pp, 高成交标的相对偏弱
Up 781 stocks | Down 4728 stocks | Flat 61 stocks | Advancing share 14.0%
Share above VWAP: 13.9% | Opening gap: -0.41% | Median intraday range: 4.04% | Closing position: 9.1%
return distribution: -inf~-9.9%:133 -9.9~-7%:317 -7~-5%:540 -5~-3%:1419 -3~-1%:1793 -10%:526 01%:355 13%:289 35%:94 57%:42 79.9%:16 9.9~inf%:46
IV. Price limits
Limit-up 39 stocks | Limit-down 52 stocks | Return>5% 104 stocks | Decline>5% 992 stocks
Longest limit-up streak: 4 sessions
Representative limit-up stocks: 光洋股份, 一鸣食品, 宇晶股份, 友阿股份, 中国卫星, 冰山冷热, 海阳科技, 东方海洋, 天顺风能, 桂林三金, 西部材料, 和泰机电
V. Money flow
Large-order flow proxy [WARN] -555.88 100m | Net inflows 690 stocks / Net outflows 2851 stocks
VI. Margin financing
Margin data unavailable (T+1 delay)
VII. Industry sectors TOP10
| Industry | Average return | median | Stock count | Advancing share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | +1.98% | +1.71% | 42 | 95.2% |
| Coal | +0.51% | +0.38% | 39 | 56.4% |
| Transportation | -0.47% | -0.38% | 116 | 34.5% |
| Food and beverages | -0.59% | -0.75% | 126 | 35.7% |
| Defense | -0.64% | -0.69% | 135 | 36.3% |
| Utilities | -0.92% | -1.07% | 102 | 27.5% |
| Non-bank financials | -1.41% | -1.51% | 72 | 15.3% |
| Oil and petrochemicals | -1.42% | -1.71% | 49 | 24.5% |
| Agriculture, forestry and fisheries | -1.45% | -1.59% | 77 | 14.3% |
| Consumer services | -1.61% | -1.41% | 57 | 15.8% |
Worst-performing sectors: Electronics(-5.43%), Telecom(-4.03%), Other(-3.69%), Automobiles(-3.45%), Computers(-3.40%)
VIII. Top 10 high-volume core stocks
| 名称 | Ticker | Turnover( 100m) | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 中际旭创 | 300308.SZ | 194.8 | -8.53% |
| 新易盛 | 300502.SZ | 139.0 | -11.06% |
| 天孚通信 | 300394.SZ | 125.3 | -19.77% |
| 长鑫科技 | 688825.SH | 119.5 | -3.36% |
| 兆易创新 | 603986.SH | 99.1 | -4.79% |
| 宁德时代 | 300750.SZ | 85.8 | -0.03% |
| 寒武纪 | 688256.SH | 80.8 | -4.70% |
| 东山精密 | 002384.SZ | 69.4 | -10.00% |
| 君正股份 | 300223.SZ | 65.8 | -0.29% |
| 亨通光电 | 600487.SH | 62.8 | -7.98% |
IX. Hot concepts TOP5
| concept | Return | leader | Limit-up count |
|---|---|---|---|
| 太空算力 | +1.89% | 上海港湾(+9.98%) | 1 |
| Banking | +1.74% | 青岛银行(+8.02%) | 0 |
| 军工电子 | +1.02% | 西测测试(+11.75%) | 0 |
| 低轨卫星 | +0.71% | 中国卫星(+10.00%) | 1 |
| HALO概念 | +0.71% | 中国广核(+7.22%) | 0 |
X. Extreme movers
Top gainers: 301079.SZ 邵阳液压(+20.01%), 301232.SZ 飞沃科技(+17.09%), 300177.SZ 中海达(+14.19%), 301155.SZ 海力风电(+12.43%), 301446.SZ 福事特(+12.34%)
Top decliners: 300394.SZ 天孚通信(-19.77%), 301718.SZ(-17.58%), 920000.BJ 安徽凤凰(-16.15%), 301205.SZ 联特科技(-15.84%), 688525.SH 佰维存储(-15.79%)
海外主题研究证据
回溯探索性研究, 不是当日预测; 未经历史时点数据认证. 研究: overseas-semiconductor-sox-20261029; 样本: 2020-01-02–2026-10-16; Generated (UTC): 2026-10-29T15:46:13.930847+00:00; 源码版本: 5122f1abd54bc69037631a4d45f8e28c24a29647. MSE 改善为正表示误差下降, 为负表示误差上升; 区间跨零不能证明存在改善. sw_semiconductor.gap.lag0: sw_semiconductor; gap; 滞后 0 个交易日; n=1643; 基线=global; 增广=theme_residual; MSE 改善=0.057998, 95% 区间 [0.0340489, 0.0894525]; Source ID: 000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox. sw_semiconductor.post_open.lag0: sw_semiconductor; post_open; 滞后 0 个交易日; n=1643; 基线=global; 增广=theme_residual; MSE 改善=0.00102981, 95% 区间 [-0.00317442, 0.00454962]; Source ID: 000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox. sw_semiconductor.gap.lag1: sw_semiconductor; gap; 滞后 1 个交易日; n=1634; 基线=global; 增广=theme_residual; MSE 改善=-0.00164728, 95% 区间 [-0.00484915, 0.00124979]; Source ID: 000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox. sw_semiconductor.post_open.lag1: sw_semiconductor; post_open; 滞后 1 个交易日; n=1634; 基线=global; 增广=theme_residual; MSE 改善=-0.000204282, 95% 区间 [-0.00454033, 0.00395332]; Source ID: 000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox. 512480.next_tradable_open.lag0: 512480; next_tradable_open; 滞后 0 个交易日; n=1398; 基线=global; 增广=theme_residual; MSE 改善=-0.00104362, 95% 区间 [-0.00761677, 0.00543725]; Source ID: 000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox. 512480.next_tradable_open.lag1: 512480; next_tradable_open; 滞后 1 个交易日; n=1390; 基线=global; 增广=theme_residual; MSE 改善=-0.00582273, 95% 区间 [-0.0142061, 0.00235395]; Source ID: 000300_sh_tushare_daily, 510300_sh_fund_adj, 510300_sh_fund_daily, 512480_sh_fund_adj, 512480_sh_fund_daily, 801081_si_sw_daily, eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily, hsi_tushare_daily, ks11_tushare_daily, n225_tushare_daily, spx_tushare_daily, usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily, usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily, yahoo_sox. Source hsi_tushare_daily: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 1f0272f33ea63e6d5ef4c8974d0b0309575f8eaefdf89c166fe6bedd63f12851) Source n225_tushare_daily: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 74e83c4cebdbbd5bd8799a83cd3803e6c1ec44359ad37e92f5364fd25e8c36f2) Source ks11_tushare_daily: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 75fb3da91d9f660aeb37672a4a2cf038fbb25a26f879f0a11a5df1bf76c9b2c0) Source spx_tushare_daily: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 cc86cef984a9a42cba83791c96f0567320cc3843dbde1d24a0a5e94c48c5c674) Source 000300_sh_tushare_daily: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 560f6a471acaeaa52e75a0f6f6f8fd10d19cadc430121dac41f5014ee437d3d6) Source 801081_si_sw_daily: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 078142f897e466eda51670793dfce10e5df2fef05a5aa22dec9d0d1a32907f36) Source usdcnh_fxcm_fx_daily: https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261(SHA-256 45168c9a3c6b78f9a9726d28fd5a5aa0df23f57e5b4da76ef0ec973ddf079455) Source usdjpy_fxcm_fx_daily: https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261(SHA-256 b0bcb568200f5134d3778b190b5529be20a522ba4838bb7107e3c4783ba46149) Source eurusd_fxcm_fx_daily: https://www.tushare.pro/document/2?doc_id=261(SHA-256 d46af73dc4b91cc1310fb18207f4690e50c5cee9ae86641c81829f1aabfa77a8) Source 510300_sh_fund_daily: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 fc178cd7fbe3114dca16314786c892cb8b9b7fd753827a2c88ca5f94fada540f) Source 510300_sh_fund_adj: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 3211a444a8de8369654c4810fa207a0ada5289cfb0ea2f41bc9c8b4ce6ae705a) Source 512480_sh_fund_daily: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 bf12a8a7889e54b16dd2a34afc8a6ccc44e5ac086f9a39440fb737f361f46d22) Source 512480_sh_fund_adj: https://tushare.pro/document/2(SHA-256 c8b930ef45cfb6bde4351eab01768b9993448ac8cb01eade91416706fe36b80c) Source yahoo_sox: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/^SOX/history/(SHA-256 f14f226ff7403e3196e6b6d9c1acc91f4cb0170116de4d91423bdf739f7b70be) 局限: Assumed daily-close availability; no historical retrieval vintages. 局限: Previously inspected years; not an untouched holdout. 局限: Extant ETF selection and opening-price fill proxies; no capacity proof. 局限: Descriptive block-bootstrap intervals; no multiple-testing correction. 局限: One-session delay is sensitivity analysis, not verified provider latency.
Data: Tushare / market-data-platform | Desk: Research editorial | Generated: 2026-10-30 11:27
Asian market overview
| Market | Index | Data date | Close | Daily return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong | Hang Seng | 2026-10-29 | 22958.65 | -0.59% | Closed session |
| Japan | Nikkei 225 | 2026-10-29 | 64659.47 | +1.10% | Closed session |
| Korea | KOSPI | 2026-10-29 | 5937.66 | -1.24% | Closed session |
- Hong Kong close data; 2026-10-29T08:00:00+00:00; Evidence:
asia.close.52577bcf9051cd858c5639e6c1dd846017d6721a5781111159bb8bedd8d1a0a7 - Japan close data; 2026-10-29T06:30:00+00:00; Evidence:
asia.close.3b19ee2c7899fd32af07eb9e704b07f9043e8b62cc3f92369d85d0b7b66ba5ad - Korea close data; 2026-10-29T06:30:00+00:00; Evidence:
asia.close.629551d1d883f7326c335974436f66d72ec79e02c6de7d2cf96a8a97cdd9f2fc
Source times use exchange-calendar session closes. Daily bar timestamps identify local sessions.